Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 217.418479 254.478654 297.703440 352.284210 419.991880 502.051664 6.103053e+02
2025-07-27 168.109783 213.550226 272.452682 356.038904 474.358990 640.278166 8.989257e+02
2025-08-03 142.920856 191.891516 260.169014 365.531266 530.198036 789.233795 1.253581e+03
2025-08-10 123.679269 173.065821 245.831238 365.706648 568.627555 920.154500 1.633010e+03
2025-08-17 110.616252 160.276561 236.974203 370.758009 614.071649 1075.134855 2.129560e+03
2025-08-24 99.215455 147.938337 226.192175 369.469645 646.827600 1216.460002 2.674689e+03
2025-08-31 90.216097 137.959867 217.356007 369.242396 680.736770 1371.441055 3.349257e+03
2025-09-07 83.855164 131.353766 213.025833 376.102517 730.365201 1580.183086 4.324225e+03
2025-09-14 75.175294 119.728057 198.134613 359.488807 724.796879 1653.330902 4.940488e+03
2025-09-21 69.905273 113.412451 191.998099 359.356902 756.756524 1838.286476 6.124479e+03
2025-09-28 65.704446 108.511153 187.806090 362.449267 797.362385 2066.776676 7.743151e+03
2025-10-05 64.507913 108.918882 193.825308 388.990729 905.948790 2562.661839 1.134568e+04
2025-10-12 62.954442 108.925968 199.963445 419.606197 1044.632971 3286.644681 1.810733e+04
2025-10-19 59.052440 104.030294 195.457052 424.247763 1112.352745 3813.868281 2.542416e+04
2025-10-26 56.160122 100.770632 193.919663 436.076556 1208.601897 4559.006333 3.818612e+04
2025-11-02 52.734899 96.035576 188.439319 436.295226 1267.011125 5194.195398 5.395770e+04
2025-11-09 50.079375 92.597499 185.396282 442.598058 1351.212503 6074.633026 8.175061e+04
2025-11-16 47.198746 88.383275 179.980660 440.990033 1405.836796 6864.195764 1.189315e+05
2025-11-23 44.677766 84.691399 175.325816 440.706434 1467.064036 7800.686179 1.797576e+05
2025-11-30 42.861123 82.355082 173.651034 449.272007 1571.873505 9251.326139 3.111055e+05
2025-12-07 39.722557 76.811683 163.375684 428.543720 1535.898024 9508.501694 3.931276e+05
2025-12-14 37.856561 73.973288 159.613883 428.379363 1598.949675 10803.966534 6.611064e+05
2025-12-21 36.323923 71.757490 157.184890 432.233451 1685.539996 12556.346275 1.267613e+06